Lead story · 6 min read
FIFA's Prediction Market Partner Reported $167 Million in Volume. Researchers Question $108 Million of It
An analysis of ADI Predictstreet's public blockchain data identified trading among linked wallets. We examine what is known, what the investigation does not prove, and why the FIFA partnership makes the findings especially important.
The market in brief
7,518 NFL Market Checks—and Not One Kalshi–Polymarket Arbitrage
An NFL Game Ended in a Tie. Why a Sportsbook Refunds the Bet While Kalshi Settles at 50 Cents
How a $12 Bet Became $145,683: The Math Behind a 12-Touchdown Parlay
Three $173 Bets Before a Surprise Appointment: What Is Kalshi Reviewing?
Three $173 Bets Before a Surprise Appointment: What Is Kalshi Reviewing?
Three small Kalshi trades costing a combined $173 appeared before Katie Zacharia was named White House press secretary. Their potential payout reached $9,608.
When Betting Help Becomes Control of Someone Else's Account
A PointsBet customer deposited A$7,000 and had A$110,490 a week later. The bookmaker found that a BetStop-registered third party had operated the account and voided every bet.
The Everton Player Did Not Place the Bets Himself. Why Did the FA Still Fine Him?
Martin Sherif said he did not personally place the 61 bets. But the accounts were opened in his name, funded from his bank account and used by other people. We examine the FA decision and the limits of a player's responsibility.
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