All blog articles about Odds Analysis.
Shane Hennen pleaded guilty in a case involving bribed basketball players and manipulated spreads. We explain how a team can win while the intended bet still lands, and what integrity monitoring may detect.
The Rams and Colts looked like safe picks, but their losses eliminated more than half of the remaining Circa Survivor entries. We examine why the most likely winner is not always the best Survivor pick.
A BetMGM customer placed $250,000 across six Knicks spreads and won every bet. We examine the maths, the advantages and the hidden risk of an alternate-spread ladder.
Vultax Research compared executable prices and order-book depth on Kalshi and Polymarket. Across 7,518 pre-game NFL checks, quotes never crossed—even before fees.
The Giants–Commanders 27–27 tie shows why the same winner position can be settled differently by a sportsbook and a prediction market—and how that difference can break a hedge.
A Hard Rock Bet customer correctly picked 12 touchdown scorers across seven NFL games and won $145,683.80 from $12. We examine the market, each selection's implied probability and the math behind the enormous odds.
We examine when injury protection is worth worse odds or a separate fee, and why price alone is no longer enough when comparing sportsbooks.
A practical framework for bettors: remove the margin, reconstruct the move, test the sporting explanation and check whether the available price still offers value.